Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 0.059390 0.064285 0.069233 0.074600 0.080250 0.086015 0.092333
2025-02-09 0.052743 0.060040 0.067664 0.076195 0.085449 0.095155 0.106079
2025-02-16 0.048659 0.057891 0.067819 0.079224 0.091900 0.105497 0.121121
2025-02-23 0.041876 0.052114 0.063445 0.076803 0.092003 0.108653 0.128157
2025-03-02 0.037231 0.048296 0.060869 0.076033 0.093648 0.113292 0.136680
2025-03-09 0.033481 0.045173 0.058789 0.075561 0.095407 0.117894 0.145051
2025-03-16 0.031809 0.044360 0.059280 0.077977 0.100431 0.126199 0.157666
2025-03-23 0.029828 0.042988 0.058951 0.079290 0.104067 0.132843 0.168349
2025-03-30 0.027918 0.041548 0.058408 0.080232 0.107176 0.138817 0.178236
2025-04-06 0.025691 0.039536 0.057009 0.079996 0.108757 0.142907 0.185855
2025-04-13 0.024579 0.038906 0.057293 0.081804 0.112809 0.149951 0.197016
2025-04-20 0.022548 0.036899 0.055683 0.081108 0.113671 0.153073 0.203425
2025-04-27 0.021036 0.035552 0.054914 0.081501 0.115951 0.158026 0.212211
2025-05-04 0.020027 0.034849 0.054953 0.082917 0.119518 0.164582 0.223006
2025-05-11 0.019682 0.035073 0.056236 0.085973 0.125212 0.173830 0.237193
2025-05-18 0.017420 0.032335 0.053325 0.083329 0.123451 0.173685 0.239716
2025-05-25 0.015933 0.030657 0.051801 0.082472 0.123951 0.176340 0.245696
2025-06-01 0.014671 0.029238 0.050571 0.081949 0.124840 0.179457 0.252241
2025-06-08 0.014397 0.029360 0.051554 0.084492 0.129823 0.187845 0.265490
2025-06-15 0.013813 0.028944 0.051720 0.085874 0.133245 0.194237 0.276242
2025-06-22 0.013164 0.028375 0.051626 0.086866 0.136131 0.199940 0.286142
2025-06-29 0.012237 0.027279 0.050690 0.086614 0.137294 0.203386 0.293156
2025-07-06 0.011908 0.027184 0.051261 0.088524 0.141425 0.210735 0.305223